The expectation of who will win the Lok Sabha elections and form the government is increasing all over the country. Out of seven phases of elections, four phases of elections have been completed so far. The fifth phase of elections will be held on Monday. Elections will end on June 1 and counting of votes will take place on June 4.
The BJP, which has been in power for ten years, is trying to get back into power. The opposition parties have come together to form the India Alliance to rein in the BJP somehow.
In both the 1998 and 1999 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 182 seats. This was the party’s highest tally when it won 282 seats in the 2014 election, when it ran for Modi. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, it further increased and the BJP single-handedly won 303 seats. That is why BJP is saying that it will win 400 seats in this election.
The fact that the opposition parties, including the Congress, have rallied against the BJP has become a major challenge for the party. BJP claimed 400 seats at the beginning of the election campaign. But now political critics are saying that without telling such a number, BJP is losing temper and talking about Muslims as a temple for Sita.
In the last election, the BJP not only won 303 seats but also got more than 50 percent votes in 224 constituencies. Therefore, it is the opinion of political commentators that India’s allies should not take that party so easily. A detailed look at the state-wise seats won by the BJP in the last election can tell the strength of the BJP.
BJP won 62 out of 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh state. It won more than 50 percent of 40 constituencies. It won 26 to 26 in the state of Gujarat and polled more than 50 percent of all constituencies. It won 28 out of 29 constituencies in Madhya Pradesh. 25 of them got more than 50 percent votes.
In Rajasthan, it won 24 out of 25 constituencies and polled more than 50 percent in 23 constituencies. In Karnataka, it won 25 out of 28 constituencies and polled more than 50 percent in 22 constituencies. In Maharashtra, it won 23 out of 48 constituencies and got more than 50 percent votes in 15. In Bihar, it won 17 out of 40 constituencies and got more than 50% votes in 14. The BJP alliance won 39 seats in the state.
It won 10 out of 10 in Haryana and got more than 50% votes in 9 seats. In Himachal Pradesh it won 4 to 4, Uttarakhand 5 to 5, Delhi 7 to 7, Arunachal Pradesh 2 to 2 and got more than 50 percent votes in all places.
Assam won 9 out of 14 constituencies and got more than 50% votes in 7 constituencies. BJP got 11 out of 14 seats and more than 50% votes in 8 in Jharkhand. Chhattisgarh got 9 out of 11 seats and more than 50% votes in 6. West Bengal won 18 out of 42 seats and got more than 50% votes in 5.
Tripura got 2 to 2 in one constituency with more than 50 per cent votes. Punjab won 2 out of 13 constituencies and got more than 50 per cent votes in one constituency. Goa 2 to 2, Chandigarh 1 to 1, the victory came completely to the BJP side. 3 out of 6 constituencies were won in Jammu and Kashmir. 2 constituencies got more than 50 percent votes.
They say that BJP will not be able to easily win every state in this election like last election. Dissatisfaction with the ten-year-old BJP government, the rise of the Congress party and the way opposition parties work together will bring about change, they say. In particular, seven states namely Karnataka, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Bihar, Haryana, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh will have a major impact on the election results.
222 constituencies are coming in these seven states alone. In this last time BJP won 145 seats. But this time there is no chance, they say. Especially in Karnataka, BJP’s internal party problem, Prajwal Revanna’s sexual assault etc. are setbacks for BJP. It had a strong alliance with the Shiv Sena last time in Maharashtra. But this time it has formed an alliance with the divided Shiv Sena and the divided Nationalist Congress.
The issue of Rajputs has arisen in the state of Gujarat. Akhilesh-Rahul alliance has been well received in Uttar Pradesh. Tejashwi Yadav’s support is building up in Bihar, so there is a chance for All India to make inroads even in states where the BJP was strong.
So there will be no dearth of excitement and excitement till the last minute of counting on June 4.
